Learning outcomes from Analysis in Government (AiG) Month 2025 live events

In this session, Dr Ine Steenmans, Associate Professor in Futures, Analysis and Policy at UCL, challenged the traditional focus on predictive accuracy in policy modelling. Drawing on recent studies, she argued that a model’s greatest impact often comes from how it transforms our thinking, not what it predicts. By valuing exploratory power alongside predictive power, even “wrong” models can generate profound evidence for policy. Below are some key learning points from the session:

• If you missed it, here are 6 insights from this talk on the impact of exploratory models
• Stay in touch with recent research, activities and learning/development opportunities by signing up to the UCL Policy Impact Unit Newsletter
• Read the policy brief: How can we harness the power of mathematical models for better policy decisions?
• Read about how mathematical models can lead us astray and what we can do about it in Erica Thompson’s Escape from Model Land
• Register your interest in the new ‘Modelling for 21st Century Decision Making’ CPD opportunity

In this session Chris Paterson and actuaries from the Government Actuary’s Department (GAD) discussed how climate considerations could affect the public sector. Below are some key learning points from the session:

• Learning points are coming soon!

In this session Professor Sir Ian Diamond, Head of the Analysis Function provided an overview of different aspects to ensure impact, including working better with our customers, the importance of having a clearly defined question to be answered, and the importance of communicating the results effectively. He also covered some of the tools which support impact, including data sharing and linkage. Below are just some of the support resources available:

• Check out previous Analysis in Government Award winners for examples of great impact
• The Analysis Function page for communicating statistics and analysis which provides guidance and support for improving the communication and accessibility of data, statistics, and analysis across government
• Resources to support data sharing include Ministry of Justice’s Better Outcomes Through Linked Data (BOLD) and the Integrated Data Service

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